Super League Greece
Analysis, previews and value bets on Super League Greece

Asteras aiming to end the undefeated streak of Olympiakos

The first match at Georgios Karaiskakis (4-0) turned out to be a disaster for Asteras Tripolis. The red card at Barrales at 44’ while the score was already at 2-0 (17’ Domínguez PK, 35’ Campbell) gave the Champions and Cup Holders of Greece an additional advantage. The two goals of Bong (56’) and Olaitan (60’) during the second half have already qualified Olympiakos to the Quarter Finals and the only thing that is left is to see how Asteras Tripolis will react to that humiliating defeat.


The last away win against Apollon Smyrnis (1-2) can only be characterized as lucky. Asteras took the lead at 39’ (Carrasco) but the home side added a lot of pressure and finally managed to score the equalizer at 81’ (Petropoulos). The remaining time was a nightmare for the defense of Asteras as Apollon did not stop and kept looking for the winning goal. In the last seconds of the match Lluy scored with a beautiful shot allowing his team to celebrate a win they did not deserve. Mr. Verghetis stated after the match that this win was a matter of luck but the important thing is they got what they wanted. There are no important absences reported and according to the roster that I saw in the official page of the club, there are no plans for rotation in the starting lineup.


Olympiakos had an average performance in the last home match against Levadiakos (2-0). The Champions looked bored during the first half causing the reaction of the fans who did not like what they were watching. Things got a little better during the second half where Olympiakos scored twice (54’, 82’) but this did not change the overall impression of their average performance. Mr. Míchel was surprised with the poor performance of his players during the first half and maybe this explains his statement that he probably could have planned things better. According to the latest reports, Olympiakos will use a secondary lineup in this match. Manolas (DEF/16/3 goals), Maniatis (DEF/16/3 goals), Samaris (MID/18/2 goals), Saviola (FWD/19/11 goals), Campbell (FWD/19/6 goals) and Olaitan (FWD/10/3 goals) were left out to rest. Siovas (DEF/11) is still recovering from his injury and Torres (DEF/5) is not ready to play yet.

Betting Pick: Asteras Tripolis (+0.5) to win @ 2.38

The secondary lineup of Olympiakos can make things a bit easier for the home side. The possibility of not losing at home where they are stronger is way more interesting and I consider the home win @ 6.00 a value bet no matter what will happened in the end. The last two performances of Olympiakos against Atromitos (0-0) and Levadiakos tell me that the break was not good for them. I cannot blame them since there is no one to compete them when they play according to their real potential.


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