I am still trying to recover from the long day I had on Friday due to the match of the National Team. It took me ages to get back from work due to the traffic caused by the 30.000 fans that were arriving at Karaiskakis to watch this match. Needless to say I regret I was not there but at least I watched it with the necessary ritual (pizzas, soft drinks etc.) while I also stayed up very late to watch the after-match shows on TV. Consequently I ruined my time schedule as Saturday was also a working day for me and now I will have to comment all Football League matches of Day 8 on fast forward.
To the matches:
PANACHAIKI vs. PANAIGIALEIOS
The morale of the home team after so many negative results is very poor and now they will have to face the best team of Group 1 so far. The bookies expect a draw and they offer quite low odds for it (around 2.80) which makes the away win @ 2.80 a value bet.
GLYFADA vs. IRAKLIS PSACHNON
Glyfada (1W-0D-2L, goals 3-5 at home) finally got the first win this season but I expect them to have difficulties against a more experienced club like Iraklis Psachnon (1W-1D-1L, goals 5-4 away). My first option will be a score of Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 and the second the win of Iraklis Psachnon @ 2.30.
VYZAS MEGARA vs. ASTERAS MAGOULAS
The players of Vyzas were punished with three goals for their poor performance in the second half against Glyfada last week (3-1). They are stronger at home (2W-0D-2L, goals 5-6) and they will look for the win against Asteras Magoulas who mysteriously performs better when playing away (1W-1D-2L, goals 4-3 away vs. 0W-1D-2L, goals 0-4 at home). I consider Vyzas more experienced than Magoula but their opponent has a better defense than the home side. The draw @ 3.00 seems like a wise option here.
ACHARNAIKOS vs. KALLITHEA
I will be surprised if Acharnaikos who is weak at home (1W-0D-3L, goals 3-6) will manage to overcome an experienced club like Kallithea who is too fond of draws so far (0W-4D-0L, goals 4-4). The win of Kallithea @ 3.00 is a value bet here.
FOKIKOS vs. FOSTIRAS
Fokikos is doing OK at home (2W-1D-0L, goals 6-4) and theoretically they are the favorite for the win against Fostiras who is doing better when playing away (2W-0D-1L, goals 4-4). Considering the offenses of both sides I will choose the options of both teams to score @ 2.20 and Over 2.5 goals @ 2.50.
EPISKOPI vs. CHANIA
This match is a domestic battle for the Island of Crete. Episkopi (2W-1D-1L, goals 7-5) is coming from two consecutive defeats (Magoula 0-3 at home, Kallithea 1-0 away) and they want to get back to wins ASAP. Chania are only a point away and very dangerous in away matches (1W-2D-1L, goals 4-3). All my approaches on this match show that the draw @ 3.25 is the best option for this domestic battle.
OLYMPIAKOS VOLOU vs. PANILIAKOS
Olympiakos Volou is strong at home (2W-1D-0L, goals 6-2) and I really doubt that a weak away team like Paniliakos (0W-0D-3L, goals 0-7) can cause any problems to the best offense of Group 1. As I constantly say, I never place any bets on odds below 1.50, so the only thing that is left here is the option of Over 2.5 goals @ 2.30. The recent win of Paniliakos against Panachaiki has brought them closer to a Playoff place and I do expect them to fight.
APOLLON KALAMARIAS vs. KARDITSA
Apollon fought the last home match against the leaders of Group 2 and they did deserve more than the defeat from Kassiopi (1-2). If they repeat their last home performance against Karditsa (0W-0D-3L, goals 0-5) they will not have any problems getting back to wins. The win of Apollon @ 1.80 is a fine bet.
PIERIKOS vs. GIANNITSA
I do not know how it is possible to offer Pierikos who has one win in 7 matches (1W-3D-3L, goals 2-4) at odds around 1.30-1.40 when Giannitsa are only one point away (1W-2D-4L, goals 6-10). The win of Giannitsa @ 10.00 is a value bet and the same goes for the X2 double chance @ 3,75.
KASSIOPI vs. AIGINIAKOS
Kassiopi is on a hot streak with 7/7 wins and they survived the last away match against Apollon Smyrnis (1-2). Statistically we should start looking for their first defeat. Odds like 1.30 are unacceptable for a team like Aiginiakos who may be fond of draws but they have been defeated only once so far (1W-5D-1L, goals 7-5). The win of Aiginaikos @ 9.50 and the X2 double chance @ 3.25 are the only bets deserving our attention.
ETHNIKOS GAZOROU vs. VATANIAKOS
Gazoros is the favorite, they will probably win the newcomers of Football League but I never bet on anything below 1.50 (especially in this league).
NEA KAVALA vs. NIKI VOLOU
Kavala was supposed to be after the playoffs but their weak start shows this will probably not be a good season for them. Niki Volou deserves the second place in the standings – mainly because of their strong home performances (4W-0D-0L – goals 13-0) and they come from the emphatic home win over Zakynthos (5-0). They are not as good when playing away (1W-1D-1L, goals 3-2) and for this reason I will not bet on this match.