Another great accomplishment was achieved by the Under 19 National team with their participation to today’s final against Spain. After a quick look at the stats of the UEFA official tournament page I realized that unless something dramatic happens we are about to watch a great match tonight. Let’s have a look:
Goals scored: Spain: 10, Greece: 10
Attempts on target: Spain: 26, Greece: 26
Attempts off target: Spain: 32, Greece: 23
Corners: Spain: 26, Greece: 23
Fouls Committed: Spain: 49, Greece: 57
Yellow Cards: Spain: 7, Greece: 12
Red Cards: Spain: 0, Greece: 2
In their press conference both coaches, Mr. Tsanas and Mr. Lopetegui, showed they respect their opponents. Both teams struggled in their last match for their participation in the final. Spain had to overcome France in the penalty shootout and Greece had to play with a man down for 75 minutes to win England on extra time. Both teams have made everything possible to rest their players for the final and this will be the key element to winning the match. The team with the most energy and determination will definitely have the advantage.
The odds offered in the match do not reflect the numbers we have seen so far. The highest fixed odds right now in the internet are 1.65-4.28-5.75. Spain is the defending champion and a favorite of the match but even their coach clearly stated that Greece is the most difficult opponent they faced so far. Greece will not have the banned players Capino (GK, 4 app. in the tournament) and Stafyllidis (DEF, 3 app. in the tournament) while Spain will not have Torres (MID, 3 app. in the tournament).
The two teams met again in 2007 final where Greece lost with 1-0. They also met recently in the opening match of the competition where Spain won with 2-1.
I rarely bet on U19 matches mostly because I like to have a clear opinion for the players of the teams involved. In this case I will make an exception because the stats of the two teams show there is a value bet here. Both of them score easily with and Spain might usually be in control of their matches but they also receive goals easily. At the same time the Greek Squad showed they are stubborn enough to get something out of this match.
My pick will be the draw @4.28 and I intend to bet on two more special bets, the HT/FT Spain/Draw @17.00 and Greece/Draw @ 15.00 because both teams seem dangerous enough to open the score before half time.
|15/07/12||Spain U19 vs. Greece U19||Draw||4.28|
|15/07/12||Spain U19 vs. Greece U19||HT/FT Spain/Draw||17.00|
|15/07/12||Spain U19 vs. Greece U19||HT/FT Greece/Draw||15.00|