Super League Greece
Analysis, previews and value bets on Super League Greece

Going for the third consecutive win

The shock of not entering the Play-Offs of the Europa League has worked for the benefit of Atromitos. They started their preparation earlier than most of Super League clubs and they have concentrated on the domestic competitions something that Olympiakos, PAOK, Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis cannot do at this moment. Today the players of Mr. Paraschos will look for their third consecutive win of the season against Panetolikos, a team that seems highly influenced by the “home ground effect”. The preview and betting pick:

Analysis: Atromitos – Panetolikos

Atromitos comes from a win against Niki Volou (1-0). The players of Mr. Paraschos had an easy task against the newcomers and they could have got an emphatic win if they were more careful in their many attempts (14 in total, 7 on target and two more attempts at the bar). The experienced coach was troubled with the accuracy of his players (Napoleoni sent the ball to the bar twice) and this explains his statement that “the only thing a coach cannot teach a player is how to score”. There is one important absence reported.

Banned: –

Injured: Brito (MID/2)

Panetolikos comes from a home draw against Olympiakos (1-1) which was considered a very positive result. As expected, they concentrated on defense but the Champions found a way to score at 47’ (Kasami). It was a tensed match and mainly because Panetolikos used a lot of physical play. The goal of Koussas at 79’ gave the team one important point but raised a lot of complains by the officials of Olympiakos for the tactics of their opponents and the referee. Mr. Chavos knows Atromitos is very tough at Peristeri but the good news is there are no important problems or absences reported.

Banned: –

Injured: –

Other: Bejarano (DEF, new transfer) did not get a license to participate yet.

Betting Pick: Atromitos to win @ 1.55

Atromitos has the way of getting wins at Peristeri, especially against teams that are not expected to be after the Play-Offs. They have a lot of quality players and it is really a coincidence they did not win both of their matches with two goals or more. They do have the luxury of preparing for one match per week (they are out of Europa League) and sooner or later they will find the way to score more.

I consider the win of Atromitos (-1.5) @ 2.60 a value bet. The bookies will make these odds disappear the minute they suspect Atromitos is improving in offense.


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