Super League Greece
Analysis, previews and value bets on Super League Greece

Stupidity rules in Super League

I was completely shocked by the sad things that took place at Apostolos Nikolaidis yesterday. The videos that came out show at least 200 hooligans ruining the evening of 18.000 people. Only 16 persons were arrested until now and I wonder if Mr. Kontonis will implement the law he legislated only a few months back. I have no trust at the Greek laws or the people that implement them but I hope I will be proven wrong someday. I still do not understand why all clubs, NOT JUST PANATHINAIKOS, are so afraid to keep the hooligans out of their stadiums. They are either stupid OR they have other things to gain… Anyway. I wasted too much time reading what happened yesterday and my comments for the Sunday matches of Super League will be brief:

PAOK – Panetolikos

This match had already started.

Skoda Xanthi – Panionios

Believe it or not the only problem of Xanthi is their offense. Their usual result is the draw (2W-6D-2L, goals 9-9) but their most recent one against Kalloni (2-2 away) was unfair as it came from a doubtful late penalty kick at 93’. They were not that better than the opponent but the way they lost the win will motivate them today.

Panionios is doing a lot better (6W-1D-3L, goals 15-9) and so far they deserve their place in the standings. The only thing that troubles me is that their main goal this season is to avoid relegation which means that, sooner or later, they will adjust their place in the middle of the standings.

Xanthi looks more motivated for the win at this moment and I really wonder if the break has influenced the form of Panionios, especially now they feel so safe. The history between the two clubs favors the home team and this is why I decided to pick the win of Xanthi @ 1.90.

Platanias – Levadiakos

Platanias comes from an away defeat against Panionios (2-1) which was more or less expected. They were in great form until that match having three consecutive wins and I must say they were not bad against Panionios either.

At the same time, Levadiakos has been defeated only once in the last six matches (2W-3D-1L) and they come from a home draw against Veria (1-1). They rely too much on forward Matzios but considering their roster, their record is very good.

The main goal of both teams this season is to avoid relegation. Usually in matches like this one, the home team has the advantage and this is why I will pick the win of Platanias @ 1.75 although is low for the risk involved. I expect to see goals from both sides @ 2.15 and a result of Over 2.5 goals @ 2.30.

Panthrakikos – AEK

Panthrakikos got an unexpected draw against PAOK (3-3 away) showing extreme motivation to stay alive in the battle to avoid relegation. The truth is PAOK helped a lot with the poor defensive performance but I must admit that if Panthrakikos was so determined in previous matches they would have a lot more points by now. Their difficult schedule (AEK today, Atromitos away, Olympiacos at home) is not promising for points but I do not expect they will surrender that easily today.

AEK was not bad in the first home defeat of the season from Asteras Tripolis (0-1) but they paid the price of a foolish move by Vargas who received a red card at 45’+3. They were in control despite their disadvantage but the late goal they conceded (89’) left them with nothing. The new coach, Gustavo Poyet, has not seen his players score in his two matches but the break gave him time to work.

AEK has a better roster than Panthrakikos but the odds on their win are too low. Poyet might be after his first win but so is Eleftheropoulos. If Panthrakikos was able to score three times against PAOK, they are capable of scoring once against AEK. The option that both teams will score @ 2.30 is a fine risk.


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