Italy – Croatia
Italy tried to steal the 3 points from Spain in the opening match of Group C but they did not manage to avoid the equalizer. I really wonder what would have happened if Balotelli was replaced sooner by Di Natale. I think that it is no coincidence he managed to score only 5 minutes after entering the match. They must go after the win today because their next match against Ireland is a relatively easy but tricky too. The only way they can ensure their qualification to the next stage (given that a win against Ireland is taken for granted) is leave no points to Croatia tonight.
Croatia had an easy task against Ireland and they managed to score early enough to bring more stress to the debut of the Irish side on this competition. Ireland had to open, they scored, but they were neither capable nor experienced enough to stop a team that is better in many aspects. Croatia has the advantage of the 3 points now and I think they are not willing to risk a lot against Italy. I would rather expect them to be patient and go after the draw if necessary. They must be extremely cautious on both of their remaining matches because their 3 points will mean nothing if Ireland will lose by both Italy and Spain.
I watched both opening matches of Group C and I still believe that Italy and Spain have the advantage of getting the first two places. Italy appeared better than expected, they know that Croatia is a dangerous team and I doubt the will underestimate them. I also have great faith in the Italian defense I am sure that they can stop Croatia. After all, Spain was a more difficult opponent and they did great. I just read in the UEFA’s page that Prandelli prepares the team for attack mode so if this is true then Italy can be a great bet @2,30 and maybe take the lead before half time at 3.75
Spain – Ireland
I expected better things from Spain in their first match but a draw against Italy is not a bad result. You cannot expect them to win them all. Ireland is an easier opponent but they should not be underestimated. They are a good solid defensive team and after their defeat against Croatia they have no motive. They are not expected to win and that can make them very dangerous. Everybody will expect Spain tonight to win with 3-0 and they surely can. Ireland had 10 consecutive matches before Croatia that was either on the lead or draw on the half time.It is very unlikely that they can do any of the two tonight, but I think there is value on the Halftime-Fulltime bet Draw-Spain. Just in case the Spanish side is bored….After all odds like 1.25 on the win of Spain are only for highrollers and I am not one of them.
|14/6/12||Italy – Croatia||Italy||2.30|
|14/6/12||Italy – Croatia||HT/FT Italy-Italy||3.75|
|Betting on singles and double||12.75|